Six weeks ago, a recession forecasting model developed by a U.S. Federal Reserve analyst predicted the probability of recession in the U.S. would soon rise above 50%. Assuming the Fed follows through ...

The probability a U.S. recession will someday be determined to have begun between December 2024 and December 2025 has dropped below 50%. The main factor lowering the probability of a recession ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Sales probability, or sales forecasting, is a process where a company attempts to predict its sales in the future. This helps the company better plan for hiring employees, making inventory purchases, ...

Many government contractors still rely on fragmented systems and static spreadsheets to project what’s ahead. That approach may work for tracking awarded contracts, but it fails to support confident ...

https://doi.org/10.1086/344622 • https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/344622 Copy URL ...