The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions for better returns.

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

My last article on AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was published a bit more than a month ago. To wit, that article was titled "AGNC Investment: Let Your Profits Run" and was published on February 11, ...

The yield curve shows the difference in the short- and long-term interest rates of bonds and other fixed-income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...