U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping reciprocal tariffs have sent shockwaves through global financial markets on Thursday, while further souring U.S. growth estimates and sharply driving up the ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Fears of a U.S. economic downturn continued to reverberate on Friday, as fed-funds futures traders considered the need for far more rate cuts by December than the Federal Reserve has penciled in. As ...

The odds of the U.S. entering a recession in 2025 have plummeted sharply on prediction platforms, aided by a de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict. As of this writing, bookmakers have ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. Stream San Diego News for free, 24/7, wherever you are with NBC 7.

Goldman Sachs reversed its prediction that the United States will enter a recession following President Donald Trump‘s decision to pause reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries for 90 days. “Earlier ...

On Sunday, US President Donald Trump declined to dismiss the chance that the US economy could enter a recession this year and that inflation may increase, attributing the uncertainty and market ...

Here’s what could happen in the trade war, and what’s next for the U.S. economy. There has been considerable debate recently about whether the U.S. economy could be entering a period of stagflation ...

Betting markets are signaling growing fears of a U.S. recession in 2025, with odds surging after President Donald Trump announced sweeping new tariffs on global trading partners Wednesday. By Thursday ...

One ‘easy’ way to see how above consensus expectations these tariffs were is the odds of a recession in prediction markets. For example, Polymarket – which famously outperformed pollsters in ...

US manufacturers are increasingly worried about a recession, a recent Fed survey shows. Manufacturers said uncertainty from tariffs is negatively impacting business planning and sales. The survey from ...