Today's print of 177,000 new jobs, 40,000 more than the consensus, throws shade on the narrative of an impending, self-inflicted, recession from tariffs, even ours. With a "real" GDP print of 3.0% and ...

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Recession panic is back if it ever really went away. Social media is filled with claims that the U.S. has already entered one with some users even coining the term “recession core,” that reflects an ...

How much did the risk of a recession go down today? Prediction market Polymarket had 66% odds of a recession before Trump’s post on Truth Social, but those odds have now dropped to 49%. That’s still a ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three criteria – ...

Stocks tanked as Trump raised recession fears. President Trump, who historically seemed to view the stock market as his approval indicator, unnerved investors by refusing to rule out a recession this ...