Discover the importance of yield spreads in bond investing, a key tool for assessing risk and comparing debt market returns.

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

The yield curve shows the difference in the short- and long-term interest rates of bonds and other fixed-income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term ...

The recent leap in longer-term U.S. Treasury yields has unnerved investors. But it could play into the hands of the country’s lenders. One upshot of this is what’s known as a steeper yield curve. This ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investment strategies to build generational wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

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